Probabilistic Risk Evaluation of Cyber-Attacks on a Nuclear Power Plant Safety

Abstract

By adopting digital technology in nuclear power plants (NPPs), the cyber-attack has been introduced as one of the newest dangerous threats. It is required to develop efficient defense strategies against possible cyber-attacks on NPPs. However, it is difficult to expect when, where, and how the cyber-attacks will occur because they are intended attacks. Therefore, the risk of cyber-attacks on NPP is getting more and more important. Probabilistic risk assessment (PRA), which is one of the most widely used methods in NPPs to assess the risk, is introduced. However, it is difficult to evaluate the risk of NPPs by cyber-attacks from only the existing PRA method. In this research, a new PSA method, which is based on existing PRA, is used for evaluating of cyber-attacks on NPP. In addition, the case studies were performed for the feasibility study using nuclear power plant PRA model. Through this study, the risk assessment of the cyber-attacks on the NPP is tried by using a previous PRA model. Also, several scenarios are assumed to proceed the risk assessment. The risk-assessment should be performed in future work containing more specific cyber-attack scenarios, and if possible, the risk assessment model should be developed. Finally, the risk of cyber-attacks on NPPs could be evaluated quantitatively. Also, the defense strategies could be deducted by a risk assessment based on the risk assessment results which is based on the proposed method.