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DC Field | Value | Language |
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dc.citation.endPage | 228 | - |
dc.citation.number | 3 | - |
dc.citation.startPage | 211 | - |
dc.citation.title | 기후연구 | - |
dc.citation.volume | 16 | - |
dc.contributor.author | 서명석 | - |
dc.contributor.author | 김태준 | - |
dc.contributor.author | 안중배 | - |
dc.contributor.author | 민승기 | - |
dc.contributor.author | 차동현 | - |
dc.contributor.author | 성민규 | - |
dc.date.accessioned | 2023-12-21T15:13:43Z | - |
dc.date.available | 2023-12-21T15:13:43Z | - |
dc.date.created | 2022-06-21 | - |
dc.date.issued | 2021-09 | - |
dc.description.abstract | We projected the temperature changes in the mid-21st century with Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP) 4.5 and RCP8.5 using the temperature data simulated by four regional climate models (RCMs: WRF, CCLM, MM5, RegCM4) in Korea. The simulation area and spatial resolution of RCMs were the CORDEXEA (COordinated Regional Climate Downscaling Experiment-East Asia) area and 25 km, respectively. We defined the temperature change as the difference (ratio) between the average annual temperature (IAV: Interannual Variation) over the projected 25 years (2026-2050) and that over the present 25 years (1981-2005). The fact that the average annual temperature bias of the four RCMs is within ±2.5°C suggests that the RCM simulation level is reasonable in Korea. Across all RCMs, scenarios, and geographic locations, we observed increased temperatures (IAV) in the mid-21st century. In RCP4.5 and RCP8.5, 1.27°C and 1.57°C will be increased by 2050, respectively. The ensemble suggests that the temperature increase is higher in winter (RCP4.5: 1.36°C, RCP8.5: 1.75°C) than summer (RCP4.5: 1.25°C, RCP8.5: 1.49°C). Central Korea exhibited a higher temperature increase than southern Korea. A slightly larger IAV is expected in the southeastern region than in the Midwest of Korea. IAV is also expected to increase significantly in RCP4.5 (summer) than in RCP8.5 (winter). |
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dc.identifier.bibliographicCitation | 기후연구, v.16, no.3, pp.211 - 228 | - |
dc.identifier.doi | 10.14383/cri.2021.16.3.211 | - |
dc.identifier.issn | 1975-6151 | - |
dc.identifier.uri | https://scholarworks.unist.ac.kr/handle/201301/58701 | - |
dc.language | 한국어 | - |
dc.publisher | 건국대학교 기후연구소 | - |
dc.title.alternative | Projection of Temperature Changes for the Mid 21 st Century Using Simulated Temperature Data by Regional Climate Models over South Korea | - |
dc.title | 지역기후모델들로 모의된 기온자료를 활용한 남한지역의 21세기 중반 기온변화 전망 | - |
dc.type | Article | - |
dc.description.isOpenAccess | FALSE | - |
dc.identifier.kciid | ART002766130 | - |
dc.description.journalRegisteredClass | kci | - |
dc.subject.keywordAuthor | regional climate model | - |
dc.subject.keywordAuthor | mid-21st century | - |
dc.subject.keywordAuthor | South Korea | - |
dc.subject.keywordAuthor | temperature change | - |
dc.subject.keywordAuthor | RCP4.5/8.5 | - |
dc.subject.keywordAuthor | 지역기후 모델 | - |
dc.subject.keywordAuthor | 21세기 중반 | - |
dc.subject.keywordAuthor | 남한 | - |
dc.subject.keywordAuthor | 기온변화 | - |
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