유한요소 신뢰성해석을 이용한 홍수 취약도 곡선 도출

Abstract

In countries that suffer from heavy rain such as Korea, bridges have to be prepared for a sudden water level increase. However, research on the flood risk assessment for bridges has gained less attention than earthquakes, even though one of the major causes of bridge failures has been reported to be flood. In addition, various sources of uncertainty make it challenging to evaluate the flood fragility of a bridge, and there have been few studies on the flood fragility curve derivation for bridges. The present study proposes a new methodology employing finite element reliability analysis to derive flood fragility curve. In the proposed method, two software packages, ABAQUS and FERUM, are connected so that reliability analysis can be performed in conjunction with sophisticated finite element analysis flood fragility assessment. The method is applied a real bridge in Korea, and flood fragility curves are derived for multiple damage states.