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박승배

Park, Seungbae
Philosophy of Science Lab.
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A Confutation of the Pessimistic Induction

Author(s)
Park, Seungbae
Issued Date
2011-05
DOI
10.1007/s10838-010-9130-0
URI
https://scholarworks.unist.ac.kr/handle/201301/3337
Fulltext
http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?partnerID=HzOxMe3b&scp=79959705760
Citation
JOURNAL FOR GENERAL PHILOSOPHY OF SCIENCE, v.42, no.1, pp.75 - 84
Abstract
The pessimistic induction holds that successful past scientific theories are completely false, so successful current ones are completely false too. I object that past science did not perform as poorly as the pessimistic induction depicts. A close study of the history of science entitles us to construct an optimistic induction that would neutralize the pessimistic induction. Also, even if past theories were completely false, it does not even inductively follow that the current theories will also turn out to be completely false because the current theories are more successful and have better birth qualities than the past theories. Finally, the extra success and better birth qualities justify an anti-induction in favor of the present theories.
Publisher
SPRINGER
ISSN
0925-4560

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