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Park, Seungbae
Division of General Studies
Research Interests
  • Philosophy of Science and Ethics

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The Grand Pessimistic Induction

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Title
The Grand Pessimistic Induction
Author
Park, Seungbae
Keywords
Grand Pessimistic Induction; New Pessimistic Induction Old Pessimistic Induction
Issue Date
201808
Publisher
Addleton Academic Publishers
Citation
REVIEW OF CONTEMPORARY PHILOSOPHY, v.17, no., pp.7 - 19
Abstract
After decades of intense debate over the old pessimistic induction (Laudan, 1977; Putnam, 1978), it has now become clear that it has at least the following four problems. First, it overlooks the fact that present theories are more successful than past theories. Second, it commits the fallacy of biased statistics. Third, it erroneously groups together past theories from different fields of science. Four, it misses the fact that some theoretical components of past theories were preserved. I argue that these four problems entitle us to construct what I call the grand pessimistic induction that since the old pessimistic induction has infinitely many hidden problems, the new pessimistic induction (Stanford, 2006) also has infinitely many hidden problems.
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DOI
http://dx.doi.org/10.22381/RCP1720181
ISSN
1841-5261
Appears in Collections:
DGS_Journal Papers
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